US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
2.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 39%-2.5ptLeader of 5 outcomes
December 31 39%-2.5ptMarket quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$50.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 8:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
August 31Lost
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
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- 1 percentage points
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ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Canada to lower US tariffs on Canada is announced by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement to lower US tariffs on Canada refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that commits or obligates the United States to lower any tariffs on Canada, or includes the lowering of US tariffs on Canada as part of its stated terms.
- Any reduction, revocation, or suspension of US tariffs on Canada, or the cancelled or suspended implementation of previously announced tariffs not yet effective, mutually announced as part of a diplomatic agreement, will qualify as lowering tariffs.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.