Before 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 96.9%
No 96.9%Market quality
85 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Open interest
$527K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiTrump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
PolymarketTrump announces Canada tariff increase by which date?
PolymarketU.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhat will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue. A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement. The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party. For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.