PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 28%Leader of 3 outcomes
June 30, 2027 28%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$2.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 4:08 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
KalshiWill Canada become an EU Associate Member by year-end 2027?
PredictIt🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that establishes an associate membership or equivalent status for Canada in relation to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- An instrument establishes an associate membership or equivalent status if it is described in its own text as establishing associate membership, associate member status, or an equivalent formulation.
- Proposals, invitations, statements of intent, negotiations, or action by only one side do not qualify.
- Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
- Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both Canada and the European Union (either as an institution or as a composite of its member states).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — When will Canada gain EU associate status? · Before 2029 18%