PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
June 30, 2027 20%+6.5ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$31.1
Liquidity
$19.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 4:08 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that establishes an associate membership or equivalent status for Canada in relation to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- An instrument establishes an associate membership or equivalent status if it is described in its own text as establishing associate membership, associate member status, or an equivalent formulation.
- Proposals, invitations, statements of intent, negotiations, or action by only one side do not qualify.
- Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
- Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both Canada and the European Union (either as an institution or as a composite of its member states).