Before Jan 1, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 86%
No 86%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$29.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Oct 2026?
KalshiMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?
PolymarketWill Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
PredictItRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Government of CubaThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCWhite House
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement. Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement. A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient. If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.