Before Jan 1, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 86%
No 86%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$29.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Oct 2026?
KalshiMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?
KalshiMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Government of CubaThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCWhite House
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement. Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement. A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient. If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.