Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
9.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaGeopolitics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 36%+9.0%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 67.0%
Spread
1240.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-2.0%
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Nov 18, 25, 9:12 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
December 3136%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.