Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaGeopolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 74.5%
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106
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 9, 26, 12:38 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
