Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNeither 68.7%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 5:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
If he dies in captivity, only captivity resolves YES.
- Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Captured or killed by anyone counts for YES resolution, including:
- Internal rebels
- US special forces
- Cuban law enforcement
- Any other party