PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
December 31 93%Leader of 30 outcomes
December 31 93%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$40K
Liquidity
$54.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$125.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
13
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 12:11 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
October 10Lost
October 12Lost
October 14Lost
October 15Lost
October 16Lost
October 17Lost
October 18Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · December 31
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketWill Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before November 5, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat version number will Anthropic's next Claude Fable model carry? (released by Nov 30, 2026)
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? · December 31 93%
