Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:44 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No release by November 30 · —
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Stored reference
No release by November 30 11%Leader of 32 outcomes
No release by November 30 11%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.6K
Liquidity
$25.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.2K
Bid / Ask
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No release by November 30Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 9:55 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No release by November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessWill Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before November 5, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
