PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
October 13 · —
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Stored reference
October 13 21.7%Leader of 30 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
October 13 21.7%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$18.8K
Liquidity
$33.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
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October 13Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 10:15 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · October 13
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This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
