KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Nov 13, 2026 79%Leader of 8 outcomes
Before Nov 13, 2026 79%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$641
Liquidity
$10.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 1:50 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Before Sep 25, 2026Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PolymarketGPT 6.1+ (OpenAI) release date
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a competitor to GitHub in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.