Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNov 12–14 24%-26.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-26.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 26, 1:40 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
When will OpenAI officially release GPT-6.2 Astra?
- This market predicts the official public release date of OpenAI's GPT-6.2 Astra model.
- Resolution criteria:
- The release must be officially announced by OpenAI or made publicly accessible through ChatGPT, Codex, or the OpenAI API.
- Internal testing, leaked model identifiers, limited private previews, and unconfirmed rumors do not count.
- The release date will be determined using Pacific Time (PT).