PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 9–November 15 · —
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Stored reference
November 9–November 15 15.4%Leader of 16 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
November 9–November 15 15.4%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$14.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.7K
Bid / Ask
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November 9–November 15Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 21, 26, 5:11 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 9–November 15
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsGPT Astra 6.1+ Released By End of November 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI GPT Astra 6.1+ released by ?
FutuurWhat will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify.
- GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
