What are the current odds for Which model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra??

Manifold Markets prices Opus 5.5 at 56.4% as of October 3, 2026.

Which model will have a higher ECI score end of November, Opus 5.5 or GPT-6 Astra?

One-OffAI1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Opus 5.5 56.4%

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+6.4 pts

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Sep 28, 26, 10:35 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Only these exact models count, e.g. GPT-6 Astra Pro would not count as GPT-6 Astra