KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityComputer 34%+31.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.2K
Liquidity
$45.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 24.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
May 31, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Earbuds/Headphones7%
Compare venues· Clip-on device for clothing
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 24% | 0pt | $4.2K | $45.2K | 22 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket85% match · verified | Medium | 13% | -11pt | $326.8 | $23.8K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
7.5 pts5mo
-7.5pt22.5%
-1.5pt14.4%
-7.0pt13.5%
+7 more outcomes
53 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$391.2K
24h Vol$326.8
POLYMARKETRules
If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Tablet before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Computer before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$4.2kJul 227d of dataJul 28
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If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Tablet before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Computer before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.