KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 30, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be true of the OpenAI / Jony Ive device?
Manifold MarketsWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $78.5K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.6%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.3K
- 24h Vol
- $25.3K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.4K
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen??
- Kalshi prices No at 93% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? resolve?
- Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the first hardware device announced by the OpenAI/Jony Ive collaboration before Jan 1, 2027 has a screen, then the market resolves to Yes.