PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Earbuds/Headphones 22%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$26.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
13
7d Change
+1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 30, 26, 4:54 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
- The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? · Earbuds/Headphones 20%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Earbuds/Headphones at 22% as of September 15, 2026.
- When does What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? resolve?
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.