What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
RegulationAITech5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastSmart speaker (Amazon Echo-style) 93.6%+5.2ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
42
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleMay 22, 25, 7:01 AMDec 31, 26, 7:56 AM
Trends
0.1%
0.5%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Earbuds1%
Volume trend
$114Jul 143d of dataJul 16
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
$200≥$1T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSSpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
$171.7≥$1.5T: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
$166Yes: 72.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO by __?
$19.9KDecember 31,: 71%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
$4.4KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
$764.4Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindeskRules
Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
- If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
- On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.