What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
RegulationAITech3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSmart speaker (Amazon Echo-style) 93.6%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
42
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 25, 7:01 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:56 AM UTC
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Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the specific type of device that OpenAI and Jony Ive first releases, regardless of the form the collaboration takes exactly.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI or reputable news sources confirming the product's launch and the involvement of both parties.
- If the device does not match any of the listed options, the market will resolve to "Other."
- On May 21, 2025, OpenAI announced the acquisition of io, a hardware startup founded by former Apple designer Jony Ive, in a deal valued at approximately $6.5 billion.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.0pt82.2%
- Yes-13.0pt17.8%
- Total Vol
- $17.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt54%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-24.0pt49%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-21.0pt48%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-1.5pt76%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- John Fetterman+12.5pt41%
- Jacky Rosen38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt36%
+12 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-12.0pt45%
- Above 55-21.0pt43%
- Above 60-11.0pt38%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]?
- Manifold Markets prices Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style) at 94% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options] resolve?
- What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Feel free to suggest other options, I will add them if I think I can resolve them relative to existing options.