Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
One-OffRegulationHealth & MedicineBusiness & Corporate2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
On Nov 16, 2026 32%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquiditySpread
45.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 8:45 PMNov 17, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
Rules
If, as of the end of Nov 16, 2026, a hemp-derived beverage enclosed in a 12-fluid-ounce container that contains exactly 3 milligrams of naturally produced delta-9 THC (and no other cannabinoids) is treated under federal law as lawful to sell, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying for this Contract evaluates the federal legal status of a beverage that:
- is enclosed for retail sale in a single sealed 12-fluid-ounce (355-milliliter) container; contains exactly 3 milligrams of tetrahydrocannabinol in that container, all of which is delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol naturally produced by, and derived directly from, a Cannabis sativa L. plant qualifying as hemp under 7 U.S.C. § 1639o as in effect on January 1, 2025, and none of which is synthesized or manufactured outside the plant; and contains no tetrahydrocannabinolic acid, no other cannabinoid of any kind, and no other substance listed in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act.
- The market resolves to Yes if, as of the end of Nov 16, 2026, at least one of conditions (a) through (d) is satisfied:
- (a) Statutory and regulatory status: Under the federal statutes and federal regulations in legal effect, the beverage is not a controlled substance in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act.
- (b) Judicial relief: One or more orders of a federal court of the United States are in full force and effect that bar the enforcement of the amendments made by Section 781 of Public Law 119-37, or of the CSA’s treatment of the beverage as a controlled substance, with respect to the entire class of products and with effect throughout the United States.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell??
- Kalshi prices On Nov 16, 2026 at 32% as of August 26, 2026.
- When does Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell? resolve?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell? is scheduled to resolve on November 17, 2026.
- How is Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If, as of the end of Nov 16, 2026, a hemp-derived beverage enclosed in a 12-fluid-ounce container that contains exactly 3 milligrams of naturally produced delta-9 THC (and no other cannabinoids) is treated under federal law as lawful to sell, then the market resolves to Yes.
