Selected book midpoint
Hodge Conjecture · —
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Stored reference
Hodge Conjecture 22%Leader of 14 outcomes
Hodge Conjecture 22%Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$187.2
Liquidity
$12.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$13.9K
Bid / Ask
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Hodge ConjectureSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:44 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Hodge Conjecture
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
- The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers.
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- No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
