Current implied probability
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 28.6%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.5K
Liquidity
$17.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 7:43 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
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Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
- The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the the named outcome Conjecture, the the named outcome, the named outcome, the the named outcome, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).
- Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
