Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 88.3%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 1:01 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) officially announces that one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, or officially awards the Millennium Prize for its solution.
- The remaining six eligible problems are:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
- Hodge conjecture
- Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
Open markets
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- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.7M
- 24h Vol
- $99K
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2030+9.0pt85%
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2029+29.1pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 20275%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
- 24h Vol
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- 1+4.5pt75.3%
- 221.8%
- 32%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
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- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
- before October+63.0pt97%
+3 more outcomes
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- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
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- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? resolve?
- Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria