PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Uganda 100%+37.5ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$122.8
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
4
7d Change
-13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 5:07 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Confirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
- The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.