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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

4.0% (24h)Health & MedicineScienceYearly6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Uganda
Uganda 100%+37.5%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$125.6

Liquidity

$4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

19.0% / 42.0%

Spread

121.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+7.5%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 22, 26, 5:18 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

South Sudan79%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
  • The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
  • The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.