PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 97%
Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$23.8K
Liquidity
$210.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 3.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
569
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 2:28 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Hantavirus become a pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.9K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k+0.1pt100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $2K
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712K
- 24h Vol
- $1.3K
KALSHIWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- before April 202793%
- before 202756%
- before December49%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.3K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 97% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? resolve?
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.