PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 5%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$167.9K
Liquidity
$752.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 5.1%
Spread
2.0%
Tight spread7d Change
-1.4%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 2:33 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Also available on Manifold Markets
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
6mo
2.5%
97.5%
Community forecast332 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$265.8K
24h Vol$20.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.