PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
51.0+ · —
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Stored reference
51.0+ 91%Leader of 5 outcomes
51.0+ 91%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$3.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
51.0+Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 6:44 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 51.0+
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US birth rate increases by over 10% during Trump's presidency.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the general fertility rate (births per 1,000 women aged 15–44) in the United States in 2026 is equal to or greater than the listed value, as reported in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) annual provisional births report for 2026, meaning the first NCHS report that presents provisional birth data for the full calendar year 2026, regardless of its exact title or format (see 2025 example, “Births: Provisional Data for 2025”: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr043.pdf), estimated to be released in April 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Provisional counts or estimates covering only part of 2026, and full-year figures published only in data dashboards, data files, or statistical tables rather than in such a report, will not be considered.
- The report is expected to be made available here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/births.htm
- If NCHS does not release its annual provisional births report for 2026 by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note: The relevant data will be the general fertility rate in the United States in 2026 as stated in the annual provisional births report for 2026.