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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Measles cases in 2026?
Measles cases in 2026?

Measles cases in 2026?

Health & MedicineOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 3000
Above 3000 89%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$2.9

Liquidity

$2.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 91.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 18, 26, 9:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 300089%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

1.0%6mo
↑1k
↑1k
+0.1%100%
↑2k
↑2k
+0.2%100%
↑500
↑500
+0.1%100%

+6 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$7.7M
24h Vol$547.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1500, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1750, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 6000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1500, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1750, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 2000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 3000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of measles in 2026 is above 6000, then the market resolves to Yes.