KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 3000 99%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$292.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 16, 25, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. by September 30?
PolymarketIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of measles in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CDC
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $759.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before April 202783%
- before 202780%
- before December71%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
- 24h Vol
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Measles cases in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 3000 at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Measles cases in 2026? resolve?
- Measles cases in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Measles cases in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of measles in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Measles cases in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Futuur, Manifold Markets.