Measles cases in 2026?
1y
KalshiUS residents onlyKYC required2% feeMarket quality 44 • Low qualityThin market690pt disagreement
Alerts
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Decision support
Current implied probability
Above 4000 67%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low qualityBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Last updated: Apr 5, 2:08 PM
Resolves
Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM
24h Volume
$17.7
Liquidity
$2.5K
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
-
Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution
Started Oct 16, 2025, 2:00 AMEnds Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM
Trends
No chart data available.
Outcome24hChance
Also available on Polymarket
KalshiLast updated: 12 minutes ago
↑1k
0pt-
↑500
0pt-
Above 2000
0pt99%
Above 500
0pt99%
Vol
$6.2K
24h Vol
$17.7
Liq
$2.5K
Spread: Moderate spreadLiquidity: Low liquidity
US residents onlyKYC required2% feeSettles in USD
PolymarketLast updated: 18 minutes ago
↑1k
▲ +100pt100%
↑500
▲ +100pt100%
Above 2000
▼ 99pt-
Above 500
▼ 99pt-
Vol
$7.5M
24h Vol
$3K
Liq
$61.1K
Spread: Wide spreadLiquidity: Medium liquidity
Not available in USNo KYC2% feeSettles in USDC
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
If the number of measles in 2026 is above 500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of measles in 2026 is above 750, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1250, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of measles in 2026 is above 1750, then the market resolves to Yes.