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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. When, where or how will Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?

When, where or how will Trump die?

PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElectionAIGeopolitics18y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
2025
2025 0%
Leader of 77 outcomes
Forecasters

321

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Stale
Jan 4, 25, 3:15 PMJan 1, 45, 10:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

20264%

Rules

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if:

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Active in these topics

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Rules

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if: