- 🥇
- 🥈
- 🥉
Show rows Rows
| # | Name | Price | 1h % | 24h % | 7d % | Market Cap | Volume(24h) | Circulating Supply | Last 7 Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show rows Rows
When or where will Trump die?
9y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCAlerts
Follow this market to create alerts.
Forecast context
Current community forecast
2025 0%
Forecasters
141
Question type
multiple choice
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleLast updated: Apr 13, 11:46 AM
Resolves
Jan 1, 2036, 10:59 PM
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-
Started Jan 4, 2025, 3:15 PMEnds Jan 1, 2036, 10:59 PM
Trends
Outcome24hChance
Rules
Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old. He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history. According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources. If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- Trump's death cannot be verified by multiple reputable sources
- The exact date of death cannot be determined
- The death occurs under disputed circumstances where the date is unclear
Topics
PoliticsAIGeopolitics
Related Markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$935.2KJune 30: 71%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%
$1.3KMahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935: 25.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow will Trump leave office?
$566.8At the end of his term in 2029.: 75.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
$471.5Trump bans abortion nationwide: 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next president of Benin?
$101Romuald Wadagni: 98.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
$40Before April 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS