PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94.1%+1.0pt
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$36.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Dec 1, 25, 9:38 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $759.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before April 202783%
- before 202780%
- before December71%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
- 24h Vol
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New pandemic in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 94% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does New pandemic in 2026? resolve?
- New pandemic in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is New pandemic in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is New pandemic in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi.