KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2030 18%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before 2030 18%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.5K
Open interest
$10.7K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 6, 26, 2:35 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pandemic in 2026?
KalshiWill Canada close its border with the US to civilian travel due to a pandemic disease by Feb 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another covid-like pandemic during second Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketRules
If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:WHO
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2030
- If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the WHO identifies any disease as a pandemic after issuance and by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.