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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

1.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffScienceBusiness & Corporate2mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
before September
before September 31%+1.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.3

Liquidity

$44.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

22.0% / 31.0%

Spread

40.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Mar 24, 26, 2:00 PMSep 1, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

before September31%

Rules

If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.