Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.3%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 15, 26, 4:10 AM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, founded by Aurelia Song circa 2015.
- This market resolves YES iff, before 2041, Aurelia Song leaves the company for any reasons other than:
- Health issues that prevent her from working a full-time job
- Being unilaterally pushed out by other stakeholders
- Aldehyde-stabilization is clearly demonstrated to not work and/or not be necessary (eg because of a positive singularity)
- If Nectome ceases to exist for mundane reasons, I will consider it abandonment if she doesn't act to try and do what's best for any people they really preserved, or if she decides to change careers in the aftermath.