PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
$4.5B · —
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Stored reference
$4.5B 82%Leader of 5 outcomes
$4.5B 82%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$721.7
Liquidity
$354.2
Low liquidityOpen interest
$865.4
Bid / Ask
— / —
$4.5BSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 12:05 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 1:30 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $4.5B
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above __?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eli Lilly's Zepbound total sales for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
- If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".