Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
5.5 pts (24h)Russia / UkraineOne-OffHealth & Medicine26d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
31, 17%+5.5pt
31, 17%+5.5ptMarket quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.3K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 4:48 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, .
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify.