PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 9%Leader of 3 outcomes
June 30, 2027 9%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$138.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$946.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
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Comments
500
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 23, 25, 11:15 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
Manifold MarketsWill the Crimean bridge be damaged in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- The border around Crimea shaded in black on the ISW map will not qualify.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.