Will Ukraine militarily recapture Sumy Oblast by the end of the war?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55.3%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleJun 4, 26, 11:45 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the formal conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukraine militarily recaptures Sumy Oblast.
- For the purpose of this market, Ukraine has recaptured Sumy Oblast once Russia controls no more than 100 square kilometres of the region.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be extended as necessary.