Will another country support Venezuela militarily?
PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineChinaLatin AmericaMiddle EastGeopolitics1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.6%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 5, 26, 4:33 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 4:30 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if any country provides direct military support to Venezuela after January 5, 2026.
- Military support includes: combat troops, weapons systems, ammunition, military aircraft, naval vessels, or active military personnel engaged in combat operations or direct defense of Venezuelan territory/goverment.
- The market resolves NO if no country provides such support tis year (2026).
- Diplomatic statements, humanitarian aid, or technical maintenance/training by foreign military personnel do not count as military support for this market.
- On January 3, 2026, President Nicolás Maduro was deposed and captured in a U.S. military operation.
