Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
One-OffLatin AmericaUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaPolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92.7%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 26, 11:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if either:
- The Bolivarian regime is replaced, democratically or by force, and a friendlier government is put in place.
- The Bolivarian regime continues "ruling" the country, but under american leash: depending on the US to finance itself, to import goods, and export oil.
- Major american demands are obeyed, such as changing economic, social and foreign policy, giving up demand to the US, letting american companies operate and extract oil.
- This market resolves NO if Venezuela:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026? resolve?
- Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria