Will Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
One-OffLatin AmericaUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaPolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92.7%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 26, 11:47 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands?
Manifold MarketsWill Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea join BRICS before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill another country support Venezuela militarily?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if either:
- The Bolivarian regime is replaced, democratically or by force, and a friendlier government is put in place.
- The Bolivarian regime continues "ruling" the country, but under american leash: depending on the US to finance itself, to import goods, and export oil.
- Major american demands are obeyed, such as changing economic, social and foreign policy, giving up demand to the US, letting american companies operate and extract oil.
- This market resolves NO if Venezuela:
