Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.7%
Forecasters
98
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 22, 1:01 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Xi Jinping secured a historic 3rd term as China's general secretary.
- This 3rd term is set to last 5 years until 2027, when the 21st party congress takes place.
- Will Xi Jinping secure a 4th term and continue to lead China through the end of 2028?
- Resolves YES if Xi Jinping holds any of the following offices (or their equivalents, in case they are changed) through the end of 2028:
- General Secretary of the Communist Party of China
- Chairman of the Central Military Commission
