Will Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
GeopoliticsOne-OffChina2y
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
End of 2028 27%Leader of 3 outcomes
End of 2028 27%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
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$1.6K
Low liquidityTraders
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Updated 1 minute ago
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PredictItRules
This event predicts whether Xi Jinping will leave the office of General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) by any of the listed deadlines.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is an official announcement or authoritative publication by the Chinese Communist Party, including releases from the CCP Central Committee or coverage in official state media confirming that Xi Jinping has ceased to hold the position of General Secretary.
- Changes to other offices currently held by Xi Jinping, including the Presidency of the People’s Republic of China or military roles, are not relevant for resolving this event.
- If official CCP communications are delayed, unavailable, or ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and consistent consensus reported by major international news organizations citing authoritative Chinese government or party sources.
- These markets will be resolved according to the substantive outcome—whether Xi Jinping in fact leaves the office of CCP General Secretary—rather than minor technicalities of wording or timing.
- If no fair and definitive determination is possible by the end of the Market Periods, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
