Current community forecast
Other 51%Leader of 18 outcomes
Other 51%Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 15, 24, 12:23 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Paramount leader of the People's Republic of China after Xi Jinping?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping leave the office of General Secretary of the CCP by which date?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolves to the name of the next General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party following Xi Jinping.
- In the event of duplicates, the first will be chosen.
- There is no time limit for this question, it runs until Xi Jinping ceases to be General Secretary.
- If Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary, resolves to Nobody.
- That includes if the office is restructured and there is no longer a General Secretary position, even if there is a clear "leader of China".
- If the CCP ceases to exist, or ceases to exist as a party in China, also resolves Nobody.