KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1,400 million barrels · —
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Stored price
Above 1,450 million barrels 55.5%Market line of 5 lines
Above 1,450 million barrels 55.5%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$272.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 1,400 million barrelsSpread
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Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 11:30 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1,400 million barrels
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 23, 2026
KalshiUS gasoline inventories at the end of November
KalshiVenezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by which date?
PolymarketUS announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before November 1st
Manifold MarketsUS Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 500M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,450 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is the China value for Q3 2026 in Table 1, “Estimated Strategic Oil Inventories for Select Countries,” in EIA’s Global Energy Security Data. For this estimate, EIA includes both government-held and commercial inventories in China’s strategic oil inventories. The first value published by EIA for Q3 2026 will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1,400 million barrels
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,400 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,450 million barrels
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,450 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,500 million barrels
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,500 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,600 million barrels
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,600 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,550 million barrels
- If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,550 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.