KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 215 million barrels · —
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Stored price
Below 210 million barrels 46.5%Market line of 5 lines
Below 210 million barrels 46.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.2
Open interest
$25.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below 215 million barrelsSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 6:00 PM UTCJan 29, 27, 5:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below 215 million barrels
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Gasoline prices exceed $4.25 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $4.35 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $4 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $3.5 for the week ending December 28, 2026?
ForecastExUS gasoline CPI for October
KalshiChina strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
KalshiRules
If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 210 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Ending Stocks of Total Gasoline” series (MGTSTUS1) for the end of November 2026. This measures month-end inventories. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded.
Rules for each outcome
- Below 215 million barrels
- If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 215 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 210 million barrels
- If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 210 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 205 million barrels
- If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 205 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 200 million barrels
- If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 200 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 195 million barrels
- If U.S. total gasoline inventories at the end of November 2026 are below 195 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
