KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $1,000/MTU · —
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Stored price
Above $2,250/MTU 79%Market line of 5 lines
Above $2,250/MTU 79%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$250.5K
Open interest
$250.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $1,000/MTUSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 5:25 PM UTCDec 17, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 24h (informational)
Market depth · Above $1,000/MTU
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $2,250/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Shanghai Metals Market - CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT
- This market resolves using the Avg. value published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) for the assessment dated Dec 17, 2026. The selected assessment is CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT, code SMM-WU-APT-003, available at https://www.metal.com/tungsten/202511260001. Use SMM's published Avg. in USD per MTU exactly as reported, with no conversion or independent averaging. The separate High and Low observations and the historical table's multi-date Average summary row do not govern. This assessment has weekly observations; do not assume a new price is published every day. If no assessment is published for the specified date, apply the COMMODITIES provisions for missing or delayed publication. Corrections and expiration follow COMMODITIES, including its 24-hour formal-correction provision; corrections after expiration are excluded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Shanghai Metals Market. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $1,000/MTU
- If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $1,000/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,500/MTU
- If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $1,500/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $2,000/MTU
- If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $2,000/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,750/MTU
- If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $1,750/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $2,250/MTU
- If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $2,250/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.