KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 190 · —
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Stored price
Above 300 45.5%Market line of 6 lines
Above 300 45.5%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$19.6K
Open interest
$7.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 190Spread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 8:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 190
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KalshiRules
If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 300 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 190
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 190 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 300 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 310
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 310 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 320
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 320 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 330
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 330 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 290
- If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 290 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.