US Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle EastCommoditiesGeopolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBelow 300 million 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleMay 6, 26, 12:18 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
How low with US petroleum reserves get to ease the price shock from the Iran war?
- The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of April 24th is 397.9 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.
- President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week.
- This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)
- This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA - currently at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ under "Petroleum Balance Sheet".
- Directly at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf (will update if the source changes).