Selected book midpoint
Moonshot · —
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Stored reference
Moonshot 60.3%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Moonshot 60.3%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Liquidity
$7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$9.1K
Bid / Ask
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MoonshotSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 12, 26, 11:56 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Moonshot
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of October 26th
KalshiTop Chinese AI company this month
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.