PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 96%-0.1pt
Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.7K
Liquidity
$296.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 3.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
709
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 3, 25, 8:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
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- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $29.1K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $25.9K
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
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- Moonshot-5.2pt25.5%
- Z.ai+0.1pt2%
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POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
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- December 31+0.9pt98%
- September 30+2.0pt96%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Xi Jinping out before 2027??
- Polymarket prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Xi Jinping out before 2027? resolve?
- Xi Jinping out before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Xi Jinping out before 2027? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Xi Jinping out before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Limitless.