Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
1.5 pts (24h)BitcoinOne-OffCrime & JusticeRussia / UkraineChinaEuropeUS PoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsCryptoPolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 83%+1.5pt
Yes 83%+1.5ptMarket quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$60.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
82.0% / 84.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 10:48 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
