Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
BitcoinOne-OffCrime & JusticeRussia / UkraineChinaEuropeUS PoliticsMiddle EastGeopoliticsCryptoPolitics3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 83.2%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$626.6
Liquidity
$35.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 10:48 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
