Nothing Ever Happens 2026
BitcoinYearlySociety & CultureUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaEuropeCrime & JusticePolitics3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 83%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 2, 26, 1:19 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Linked to https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026
- This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Bitcoin
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $79,000 or above99%
- $78,900 or above99%
- $78,800 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $974.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.1pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $627K
- 24h Vol
- $624.1K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
- Bitcoin price on September 9?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nothing Ever Happens 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Nothing Ever Happens 2026 resolve?
- Nothing Ever Happens 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Nothing Ever Happens 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Linked to https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-2026
- Where else is Nothing Ever Happens 2026 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.