PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Nothing · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
Nothing 97%
Nothing 97%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$14.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$6.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NothingSpread
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Comments
4
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 11, 26, 8:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Nothing
Loading selected book…
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
